US intelligence mulls three scenarios for EU in 2030

EurActiv reported on a study from the US National Intelligence Council published in December 2012 called 'Global trends 2030: Alternative worlds'.

In the section on the EU EurActiv reported that the study said that Europe would not disintegrate and would remain a great power in 2030, but the key question was whether the EU would punch its collective weight in the future. The report drew three possible scenarios for the Union – decline, collapse or renaissance.

United States: US National Intelligence Council: Global trends 2030: Alternative worlds http://www.dni.gov/files/documents/GlobalTrends_2030.pdf

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