How did people’s expectations of the consequences of Brexit affect their vote?

As the Brexit negotiations ground towards a conclusion, there was much talk of what it meant to honour the 2016 referendum result, and of whether another referendum should be held once the Brexit terms were known.

A paper* by Stephen Fisher and the Unit’s Alan Renwick shed fresh light on these issues, examining what people thought they were voting for in 2016 and how that affected their vote choice. In this post, the authors summarise the findings and draw out lessons for today’s debates.

* Acta Politica, 2018: The UK’s referendum on EU membership of June 2016: how expectations of Brexit’s impact affected
the outcome

• Primary Source

ESO: In Focus: Brexit - The United Kingdom and the European Union http://www.europeansources.info/record/brexit-the-united-kingdom-and-the-european-union/

UCL: European Institute: UCL Brexit Blog, 26.10.18: People’s Vote analysis: 40% of the public up for grabs by either side http://www.europeansources.info/record/peoples-vote-analysis-40-of-the-public-up-for-grabs-by-either-side/

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