Is the UK going to be ready for a Brexit no deal?

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Series Details 10.10.17
Publication Date 19/10/2017
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The United Kingdom published two White Papers on the 9 October 2017, which set out its vision for post EU trade and customs policy once the UK had withdrawn from the European Union.

In Preparing for our future UK trade policy the Department for International Trade established the principles that would guide future UK trade policy as well as laying out the practical steps that would support those aims.

These included:

+ taking steps to enable the UK to maintain the benefits of the World Trade Organisation’s Government Procurement Agreement
+ ensuring the UK could support developing economies by continuing to give them preferential access to UK markets
+ preparing to bring across into UK law existing trade agreements between EU and non-EU countries
+ creating a new, UK trade remedies investigating authority

The UK Government also published on the 9 October 2017 a separate White Paper Customs Bill: Legislating for the UK’s future customs, VAT and excise regimes.

In the August 2017 policy paper, Future customs arrangements: a future partnership paper, the United Kingdom government set out its proposals for an ambitious new customs relationship with the EU and confirmed that, regardless of the outcome of negotiations, the UK would need new customs legislation in place by March 2019. Later in 2017, the UK government would bring a ‘Customs Bill’ before parliament.

The White Paper published in October 2017 explained the government’s approach to the bill. It set out how the current customs, VAT and excise regimes operate for cross border transactions, why the bill was necessary, and what the bill would contain. The White Papers published by the United Government in October 2017 on trade and customs after Brexit were being interpreted by some as showing the United Kingdom Government was ready for no deal. Author Joe Owen argued that they just underline how far from ready we were.

See also other information sources (related url hyperlinks below) of October 2017 discussing aspects of the question as to whether a 'no deal' scenario was possible or desirable in the context that the Brexit negotiations between the EU and UK were not progressing satisfactorily and that it was likely that the EU27 would conclude at the European Council summit on the 19-20 October 2017 that 'sufficient progress' had not occurred in the negotiations.

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Related Links
Brexit, 16.10.17: The short-term benefits of a no-deal Brexit
The Conversation, 18.10.17: Game theory experts: credibility is key for a successful ‘no deal’ Brexit strategy
CAPX, 15.11.17: The paradoxical case for preparing for no deal
Leave Means Leave, 18.10.17: Leave Means Leave Letter to the Prime Minister
The Guardian, 18.10.17: Brexit: cabinet split as Amber Rudd calls no-deal ‘unthinkable’
The Telegraph, 18.10.17: Theresa May urged to make 'deal or no deal' ultimatum at Brexit summit as EU leaders agree to meet Jeremy Corbyn before her
Blog: Institute for Government, 01.11.17: Is the UK going to be ready for a Brexit no deal?
The Conversation, 11.10.17: Why a no-deal Brexit doesn’t even bear thinking about – let alone planning for
Euro|Topics: Debates, October 2017: Brexit: Can London make good on 'no deal' threat?
ESO: In Focus: Brexit - The United Kingdom and the European Union
ESO: Background information: Cost of No Deal (The UK in a Changing Europe, July 2017)
BBC News, 14.10.17: Brexit: What would 'no deal' look like?
The Guardian, 15.10.17: MPs move to block Theresa May from signing ‘no deal’ Brexit
ESO: Background information: The Repeal Bill must pass committee stage – and all sides should compromise
The Telegraph, 15.10.17: A 'no-deal' Brexit is not as scary as the establishment is making it out to be
The Independent, 14.10.17: Theresa May failing to inform public of 'very serious' threat of no deal Brexit
BBC News, 15.10.17: MPs can stop no-deal Brexit, says Labour's McDonnell
In Facts, 18.10.17: 10 reasons ‘no deal’ Brexit would be bonkers
UCL: The Constitution Unit, 26.10.17: Report of the Citizens’ Assembly on Brexit: the public reject ‘no deal’

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