Projecting vote transfers in the second round of the French presidential election

Following the first round of the presidential election in France on the 23 April 2017 Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron have advanced to the second round on the 7 May 2017. But which candidate will supporters of losing candidates such as François Fillon, Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Benoît Hamon back in the run-off vote?

Using updated polling, Alexandre Afonso illustrates where the votes are likely to go, with Emmanuel Macron standing to benefit most from transfers

• Primary Source

ESO: Key source: France Presidential Election 2017 http://www.europeansources.info/record/french-presidential-election-2017/

ESO: Background information: French election results: Macron will face Le Pen in second round head-to-head http://www.europeansources.info/record/french-election-results-macron-will-face-le-pen-in-second-round-head-to-head/

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