Status of the Doha Development Agenda, May 2004

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Publication Date 17/05/2004
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The Doha Development Agenda was launched at the World Trade Organization's fourth Ministerial Conference, held in the Qatari capital in November 2001. In the wake of the failed Third Ministerial Conference, which took place in Seattle in 1999, representatives of more than 140 countries met in Doha to agree an agenda for a new round of trade talks. Major issues discussed included the environment, agriculture, trade-related aspects of intellectual property rights (TRIPS), anti-dumping, and the implementation of earlier agreements.

The resulting Doha Development Agenda covered 21 topics, all but two of which were scheduled for completion by January 2005. Progress on the Agenda (also referred to as the Doha Work Programme) was to be reviewed at the Fifth Ministerial Meeting, held in the Mexican city Cancun in September 2003. However, despite the fact that the Cancun meeting was intended simply as a stock-taking exercise, reviewing progress towards the Doha goals, it ended in considerable acrimony with no agreement on a way forward.

Following the breakdown at Cancun, there was a hiatus in discussions, during which it was suggested by some observers that the whole process might fail. However, both the United States and the European Union have since re-engaged in discussions, both bilaterally and with other participants.

Background

The Doha Development Agenda was intended - at least officially - to promote the interests of poorer countries, by reducing trade barriers and giving them better access to world markets. However, as The Economist put it: 'For all the fine promises made at Doha, rich countries could see no farther than the interests of their own farmers. America's unwillingness to curb its cotton subsidies - which have an especially severe effect on poor-country producers - is unforgivable. So too is Japan's unyielding defence of its own swaddled rice farmers. And for all its ballyhooed efforts at reform, the European Union remains the most egregious farm subsidiser of all. Europe deserves added blame for trying to push poor countries into negotiating new rules on investment, competition, government procurement and trade facilitation, when most of them clearly did not want to' (see: Cancun's charming outcome).

The World Bank estimated that 'a successful Doha round could raise global income by more than $500 billion a year by 2015. Over 60% of that gain would go to poor countries, helping to pull 144m people out of poverty. While most of the poor countries' gains would come from freer trade among themselves, the reduction of rich-country farm subsidies and more open markets in the north would also help' (see The Economist: The Doha Round: The WTO under fire).

The failure of Cancun was seen by the Financial Times as being due in part to the 'confrontational tactics redolent of the cold war era', which 'may have worked when progress hinged on deals between the US and Europe ... [but] ...are ill-suited to an organisation with 148 members, many of them with limited resources and negotiating experience.' The FT suggested that 'More will be achieved by taking them by the hand than by going head to head' (see: EU trade drift). That advice appears to have been heeded, with both the US and EU now seeking to win support via informal talks, based on a more flexible approach.

In a Communication issued in November 2003, the European Commission identified a number of areas where it thought the EU could be more flexible, and also some where it considered that movement was necessary on the part of others (see: EU- WTO: European Commission proposes to put Doha Round of trade talks back on track).

In particular, the Communication proposed that the EU should not try to force the so-called 'Singapore issues', which it had tried to get added to the Doha Agenda, and which had caused considerable unease amongst other participants. The Communication suggested that the four issues - concerning competition, investment, conditions of cross-border trade and transparency in public procurement - be dealt with on a 'plurilateral', with individual countries free to decide whether to participate in negotiations on them (see European Voice: Commission relaxes stance in 'Singapore issues').

Agriculture was one of the main issues on the Doha Agenda, and in December Agriculture Commissioner Franz Fischler identified five 'tests' which he said needed to be passed if any future negotiations were to be successful. He characterised these as: 'developing countries have to get a better deal', “give and take” is the name of the game', 'reforms have to be recognised, not penalised', 'substance has to prevail over slogans', 'the rich can't go it alone' (see: WTO and agriculture: Fischler's five tests to kick-start stalled talks).

At the same time, the Financial Times noted not only that agriculture was 'the make-or-break issue of the trade round', but that 'other big WTO members have so far remained entirely passive, with many waiting for the EU or the US to make the first move' (see: No more EU farm concessions, says Fischler).

However, at a meeting of the G20 in December Brazil's Foreign Minister said that the EU's offer 'to phase out export subsidies - provided other countries did the same - was insufficient' (see Financial Times: Defiant G20 calls for better farm trade offer).

Further problems loomed as members of the WTO considered whether to lodge complaints against the EU and US over their agricultural subsidies. The failure of Cancun meant that what the Financial Times called a 'peace clause' intended to protect such subsidies had expired, and that subsidies to support the production of cotton, rice, dairy products and sugar might be targeted ((see: Farm subsidies could go under WTO plough; a decision at the end of April by a WTO Dispute Settlement Panel 'that US subsidies for cotton growers violate international trade rules' was condemned by US Trade Representative Robert Zoellick, who warned 'that developing countries risked damaging the Doha Round world trade negotiations if they were to file new dispute cases aimed at forcing the US to dismantle its farm subsidy programmes' - see Financial Times: Subsidy disputes could 'damage' Doha).

January 2004 saw an initiative from the United States in the form of a letter from Robert Zoellick, which offered ideas to break the deadlock resulting from Cancun. EU Trade Commissioner Pascal Lamy responded positively to the US initiative, saying that it showed 'that 2004 will not be a lost year. We hope that this is now going to pave the way for more talks in the WTO so that we can complete the talks by the agreed date, if this is possible, of the end of 2004. We are ready to go and negotiate' (see Financial Times: 'We are ready to go and negotiate - 2004 will not be a lost year,' says Lamy).

In Fear may give the Doha talks the jolt they need, the FT identified three reasons for the apparent optimism which Mr Zoellick's letter engendered:

  • 'India may soften its intransigence over dismantling its trade barriers after its elections in April'
  • 'the terms in office of Mr Zoellick and Mr Lamy expire in less than a year: their shared concern with political “legacies” is a powerful inducement to push for rapid results'
  • 'the course of the Doha round this year may shape future US attitudes to the WTO'

Despite that optimism, a meeting in Geneva in February produced no breakthrough (see Financial Times: Bid to revive world trade talks stumbles).

April saw the EU move to win over Latin American countries, in an initiative seen as an attempt to 'divide and rule', by splitting opposition to its Doha positions. Preferential treatment for Mercosur members (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay) was decried as 'noxious' in the FT, and seen as potentially 'poison[ing] prospects for success in the Doha round ... and damag[ing] the interests of many other countries, including some of the world's poorest' (see: Divide and rule).

Nearly 30 of the Doha Round participants were scheduled to meet during the May OECD meeting in Paris, with the aim of trying to find some way forward which might allow an agreement to be reached on the Doha Agenda by July 2004 - seen as the last date before talks are effectively postponed in the run-up to the US Presidential election in November.

Prior to the Paris meeting, Pascal Lamy circulated WTO members with details of the EU's latest position. He identified three areas where the Union could be more flexible: export subsidies, Singapore issues, concessions for the poorest and weakest WTO members (see: WTO-DDA: EU ready to go the extra mile in three key areas of the talks). However, Commissioner Lamy also made it clear that the EU 'cannot do it alone. All WTO Members developed and developing alike have to translate general expressions of political commitment into concrete movement on the substance if we want to get an agreement on modalities by July.'

Further information within European Sources Online

European Sources Online: In Focus

22.09.03: World Trade Organisation Fifth Ministerial Conference, Cancun, Mexico, 10-14 September 2003
23.11.01: World Trade Organisation Fourth Ministerial Conference, Doha, Qatar, 9-13 November 2001

European Sources Online: Topic Guides

The external trade policy of the European Union

European Sources Online: The Economist

20.09.03: Cancun's charming outcome
20.09.03: The Doha Round: The WTO under fire
06.09.03: World trade talks: The Cancun challenge

European Sources Online: European Voice

01.04.04: WTO chief defiant on 'excessive farm subsidies' claim
05.02.04: UN urges Europe to keep its promises on relieving poverty across the globe
27.11.03: Commission relaxes stance in 'Singapore issues'
02.10.03: 'Don't be like emperors', trade chiefs warned
25.09.03: Trade chief fights back over Cancun

European Sources Online: Financial Times

03.05.04: Ministers vow to overcome obstacles to Doha
30.04.04: Zoellick to host 'select' dinner in attempt to meet Doha round target
29.04.04: Subsidy disputes could 'damage' Doha
28.04.04: WTO cottons on
16.04.04: Exclusive move to kickstart trade talks
15.04.04: EU's Mercosur gambit aims to win over farm trade opponents
15.04.04: Divide and rule
14.04.04: EU in ploy to win trade deal
17.02.04: Outsourcing ban 'would put trade talks at risk'
14.02.04: Bid to revive world trade talks stumbles
11.02.04: Fear may give the Doha talks the jolt they need
26.01.04: Trade chief to get tough with Doha laggards
21.01.04: Optimism after surprise US move
13.01.04: Farm products exporters give guarded welcome to attempt to revive Doha talks
13.01.04: 'We are ready to go and negotiate - 2004 will not be a lost year,' says Lamy
12.01.04: US tries to reactivate failed talks over trade
12.01.04: Wake-up call for the Doha round
12.01.04: Zoellick tries softer touch in Doha trade negotiations
31.12.03: Farm subsidies could go under WTO plough
16.12.03: WTO aims to revive stalled talks next year
13.12.03: Defiant G20 calls for better farm trade offer
10.12.03: Brussels moves to revive WTO farm trade talks
03.12.03: EU trade ministers back Lamy on flexible strategy
02.12.03: No more EU farm concessions, says Fischler
20.11.03: Australia tries to revive Doha by yielding on farm subsidies
20.11.03: EU may be more flexible on global trade talks agenda
20.11.03: Stop the bickering over world trade talks
10.11.03: EU, US to face trade talk pressure
07.11.03: WTO farm talks chief resigns
20.11.03: Europe's trade supremo feels the sting of Cancun's failure
31.10.03: EU trade drift

Further information can be seen in these external links:
(long-term access cannot be guaranteed)

EU Institutions

European Commission

DG Press and Communication

Press releases
  11.05.04: Facilitating food and agriculture trade: EU biggest global food importer [IP/04/627]
  10.05.04: WTO-DDA: EU ready to go the extra mile in three key areas of the talks [IP/04/622]
  02.12.03: WTO and agriculture: Fischler's five tests to kick-start stalled talks [IP/03/1640]
  26.11.03: EU- WTO: European Commission proposes to put Doha Round of trade talks back on track [IP/03/1600]
Speeches
  14.05.04: Pascal Lamy: 'The WTO volcano smoking again' [SPEECH/04/250]
  11.05.04: Franz Fischler: Agriculture Negotiations DOHA Round [SPEECH/04/237]
  10.05.04: Franz Fischler: A new EU initiative to jump start WTO farm talks [SPEECH/04/230]
  26.02.04: Pascal Lamy: Moving Doha Forward [SPEECH/04/102]
  19.02.04: Dr. Franz Fischler: Restarting the Doha Round [SPEECH/04/88]
  13.01.04: Pascal Lamy: The relaunching of negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda [SPEECH/04/11]
  04.11.03: Pascal Lamy: Trade Crisis [SPEECH/03/514]
  28.10.03: Pascal Lamy: The EU, Cancun and the Future of the Doha Development Agenda [SPEECH/03/499]

DG Trade

The Doha Development Agenda

DG Agriculture

A new EU initiative to jump start WTO farm talks

Governments and international organisations

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Cancun trade talk breakdown: what now?

U.S. Department of State

Doha Development Agenda

World Trade Organization

Negotiations, implementation and development: the Doha agenda

Eric Davies
Researcher
Compiled: 17 May 2004

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