Thirteen trends for 2016

1. The proxy war between Russia and the US in Syria intensifies
2. Hardening of attitudes to refugees
3. The slow erosion of consensus on Russia
4. Britain re-enters Europe
5. …As European solidarity erodes
6. Europe’s mainstream Canutes
7. The nihilistic trend in extremist Islam
8. Germany becomes the US…
9. …As the US becomes Germany
10. The rise and rise of geo-economics…
11. …Except in Russia
12. No hard landing for China
13. Turkey’s return to the West

• Primary Source

ESO: Background information: 2015: Terror, refugees and the euro crisis / The Europe Question In 2016 http://www.europeansources.info/record/2015-terror-refugees-and-the-euro-crisis-the-europe-question-in-2016/

Chatham House: Expert Comment, 04.01.16: What Are the Big Challenges Facing Europe? https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/what-are-big-challenges-facing-europe

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