Transatlantic Turmoil is Not Over

Summary:

Europeans should expect Biden to be more focused on domestic priorities in 2022. The US will not ignore major foreign policy crises if they arise, but Europeans should expect limited help from Washington in dealing with challenges that affect them more than the US, whether that is trouble in Bosnia, renewed tensions in the eastern Mediterranean, a rekindling of the civil war in Libya, or instability in the Sahel. Biden’s focus on domestic policy will weaken US influence and may encourage further foreign policy adventurism by Moscow and Beijing. And if the Republicans gain control of Congress at the end of the year, this will constrain Biden’s room for manoeuvre in foreign policy. A Republican-controlled Congress could push Biden towards foreign policy positions that create friction with Europe and make a united transatlantic stance harder, for example over China, Iran or Russia.

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• Alternative Source

ESO Records

CER Insight: Oct. 2021: After Afghanistan and AUKUS: What Next for European Defence? https://www.europeansources.info/record/after-afghanistan-and-aukus-what-next-for-european-defence/

Egmont Institute European Policy Briefs: June 2021: A new start for EU-US relations? https://www.europeansources.info/record/a-new-start-for-eu-us-relations/

CER Bulletin: Feb. /March 2021: Transatlantic Relations for the Biden Era and Beyond https://www.europeansources.info/record/transatlantic-relations-for-the-biden-era-and-beyond/

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